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With Drought Looming, Oregon May Lose Wildfire Insurance

Friday, March 20, 2015

 

After two of the most active, and expensive wildfire seasons on record, Oregon is struggling to reach an insurance deal that would cover cost over runs in fighting forest fires. 

Oregon's forest fire insurance policy, the only one of its kind in the country, is designed to protect the state's general fund in the event of a bank-breaking fire season. Oregon racked up $122 million in 2013 fighting wildfires, and $75.6 million in 2014, tapping its full insurance policy for $25 million in both years. 

“We have no idea what kind of coverage we will get for the 2015 season, if any,” said Oregon Department of Forestry (ODF) spokesman Rod Nichols.

When massive fire complexes arise, the wildfire fighting crews funded by roughly $46 million in designated state funds need help from private contractors for bulldozers, water planes, and extra crews --- and it costs.  

Since 1973, the state has been insured through Lloyd's of London to buffer these costs, but this year, "the world's specialist insurance market" is a little skittish. 

“It’s like you just wrecked a car and then came back and said ‘whoops, I just wrecked my new one,” Nichols said. “We cost you $50 million,would you like to insure us again?” 

In 2013, a $25 million insurance plan with a $20 million deductible cost the state $923, 318 to get insured. By 2014, the state paid $2,012041 for the same coverage. The insurance was still not enough. Despite underwriters taking a $50 million hit in the last two years, $40 million more was needed from the state fund in 2013, and several million in 2014, to cover the costs. 

The ODF has not yet reached a deal with Lloyds as what is predicted to be another dry, hot summer marches in, with the full possibility there may be no insurance at all. Drought emergencies have already been called in Lake and Malheur Counties by Governor Kate Brown, as snow pack in some regions is down to a tenth of normal depth. 

Risk

Landowners in areas with wildfire risk pay a per-acre fee into the Oregon Forest Land Protection Fund, with rates based on a forest patrol assessment. The state’s access to that money, which effectively serves as the $20 million deductible, kicks in when the need arises.

Underwriters for Lloyd’s could refuse a policy based on the amount of policy funds paid out in the last two years, or offer a policy that the state or landowners could refuse, Nichols said. 

“If you’re high risk, underwriting standards are going to be tight,” said Andrew Lauersdorf, an insurance coverage litigator and founder of Maloney Lauersdorf and Reiner in Portland.  

It makes sense for an insurance company to offer lower limits to a high-risk client to limit their own exposure to loss, Lauersdorf said. Any region with forests and drought -- such as California, Oregon and Nevada -- is at a high risk for wildfires.

There will still be insurers out there who will insure Oregon, but the risk assessment means the state will pay higher premiums for lower policy limits.

“These people are in the business of making money, they’re going to hedge their bets,” Lauersdorf said. If the state cannot get insured this year, the cost of fighting large fires will come out of funding from federal agencies, or Oregon's general fund. 

“One way or the other, somebody’s going to pay for that insurance product,” Lauersdorf said. If a private insurer does not cover the cost, the taxpayers ultimately pick up the bill.

Dry Summer Ahead 

“The people at the state level are in a difficult position, trying to get as much coverage for the dollar," he said. "It’s a constant agonizing shopping trip."

In a policy designed to insure expenses, the more the state's fire fighting expenses increase, the less likely they are to be insured.

“We’re probably not going to get near the amount of coverage the state and landowners would like to have,” Nichols said. But despite two expensive years, it has not been a bad insurance experience for either party. Since 1973, Lloyd's has paid out a total of $102 million, while the state has spent $57.3 million on premiums. 

From 2003-2012, the state paid Lloyd's premiums between $800,000 and $3.8 million per year, but never tapped into the insurance policy. In 2012, a moderate year, the state spent $6.1 million fighting large fires, which came nowhere near the $20 million deductible. Lloyd's of London declined to comment, as the company does not comment on individual policies. 

Meanwhile, the state is still dealing with bills from the 2013 season, while the 2014 season is unresolved, and a dry summer approaches. The state’s bills have been paid to contractors, but the process of getting reimbursed by agencies such as the US Forest Service and Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) is a complicated one.

“We pay a lot of money out to private vendors who provide contract fire engines, bulldozers, there’s a whole industry built around firefighting,” Nichols said. 

Although the prevailing cause of forest fires is lightning, ODF recommends multiple strategies to reduce the incidence of human-caused fires. 


 

 

Related Slideshow: Oregon Industries Jeopardized by Warm Weather

The balmy weather Oregon is experiencing, although pleasant, does not bode well for some of the state’s biggest industries.

The early, hot spring has posed risks to Oregon’s wine industry, crops, forest services, apiculture (bees), outdoor recreation such as rafting, and has taken a serious toll on the state’s winter recreation industry.

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Wine 

When Spring arrives early, all biological processes get going earlier, including one of the most finicky Oregon crops -- grapes, which sustain Oregon’s $207.5 million wine industry through 950 vineyards and over 600 wineries. 

Due to the warm weather, vineyards across the state are experiencing “bud break” -- the buds coming out of the vine -- about three weeks earlier than normal, two weeks earlier than in 2014, said Oregon State University Vitriculture expert Patty Skinkis. 

“The main concern has to do with the potential for frost damaging growing tissues,” Skinkis said. “Once they start growing that green tissue, it’s susceptible to frost.” Frost damages the most fruitful shoots, making for a significant reduction in yield.

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Winter Sports 

“This has been a very, very stingy snow season for us,” said Mt. Hood Meadows spokesman Dave Tragethon. The total number of visits for the resort was down by roughly one third, unable to open until December 22, almost a month late.

Hoodoo Ski Area, near Sisters, was open just ten days. Warner Canyon did not open at all. Cooper Spur and Willamette Pass did not open until January, while Ski Bowl, Ferguson Ridge, Mount Ashland, and Spout Springs could not consistently remain open. 

Only a handful of Oregon resorts stayed open for most of the year, including Timberline, Mount Bachelor,Mt. Hood Meadows, and Anthony Lakes Mountain Resort.  

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River Recreation 

Lower snowpack means less water in the rivers. Some outdoor recreational industries, such as river rafting, will take a hit this summer. 

Craig Wright, owner of Oregon River Company since 1978, said he expects low water levels to negatively impact the bottom line of the company, which employs 25 full and part time staff. 

“It’s tense,” he said. “It’s not unprecedented but it’s pretty darn unusual.”

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Apiculture (bees)

Bees are coming out early, signalled by the early bloom of flowers. 

“It’s a worry that if the weather doesn’t stay like this, if it gets rainy or cold, the bees can’t sustain themselves,” said entomologist Ramesh Sagili. 

Bees can’t go outside the hive and forage if the temperature drops below 40 or 45 degrees farenheit. Ideal foraging temperature is 55 degrees. 

“If bees die, then pollination becomes a problem,” Sagili said. “Agricultural crops are very dependent on honey bees.” 

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Agriculture 

Governor Kate Brown declared a drought emergency Tuesday in Lake and Malheur counties, both of which rely on agriculture as a key  industry. A snowpack between six and 40 percent of normal was the leading factor in the decision, according to Keith Mills of the Oregon Water Resource. 

Overall crop yields will be lower, as farmers focus more on money-making crops, switching to crops like wheat which get higher yield for less water. 

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Forest Fire Fighting  

In 2013, firefighting costs ran an all-time record of $122 million, as crews battled more than 100,000 acres. The state tapped a $25 million insurance policy, and turned to the state’s general fund to pick up the over run. 

In 2014, the ODF spent $75.6 million fighting over a thousand fires that burned more than 50,000 acres of forest.  Again the state tapped its full insurance policy of $25 million and the over run came out of the state’s general fund. 

According to ODF spokesman Rod Nichols, there is no indication this year will be any different. 

 
 

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