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Hey GoLocalPDX, East Portland isn’t so Dangerous After All

Friday, October 24, 2014

 

Photo Credit: Adam Simmons (image cropped)

GoLocalPDX’s article Wednesday attempting to define what constitutes a dangerous neighborhood shows errors in methodology and raises a lot of questions. As a neighborhood activist and longtime East Portland resident, feel several issues need to be addressed.

East Portland vs. Downtown 

First, the article manipulates numbers to designate East Portland neighborhoods as unsafe. The article does not adequately weight population. If you do, it is clear that Downtown and the posh Pearl District are exponentially more dangerous than any East Portland neighborhood. Hazelwood, for instance has a rate of 213 calls for police service per 1000 residents over the past five years while downtown has a staggering 722. The Pearl, at 647, isn’t far behind. In raw numbers, Downtown, a smaller neighborhood had more larceny and indeed more rape incidents than Lents, where I reside, yet it received a much high safety ranking than Lents. Based on population, if Lents were its own city, we would be the 25th largest city in Oregon (larger than Sherwood) yet are being compared to neighborhoods that literally have less than 200 residents.

Property Crimes as "Violent" Crimes

Further the article considers property crimes such car breakins and shoplifting as “violent” crimes. A single store located in Eastport Plaza places approximately two calls per day for police service. These are shoplifting calls. That alone would account for more than half of the total calls for Lents. They are not violent offenses and do not equate to us being “dangerous.”

Traffic Accidents 

GoLocalPDX also gives heavy consideration to traffic accidents when considering dangerous neighborhoods. Unfortunately they miss the mark there too. Limiting crash data to only high crash intersections ignores the majority of traffic crashes that occur all over Portland. The article includes data on 3468 crashes at 60 intersections across the city. In a city with thousands of intersections and over 50,000 vehicle crashes in the same period, this would be akin to judging the total worth of someone by the quality of their left hand alone. There were 146 traffic fatalities during the measured period, though the article only accounted for 55. 

Finally, attributing an intersection to one neighborhood over another when it crosses boundaries also muddies the water. For instance, 82nd and Flavel connects Brentwood Darlington and Lents yet Brentwood Darlington is listed as having no dangerous intersections (while Lents is listed as having seven). To achieve a defensible statistic, those wrecks should be equally apportioned between the neighborhoods.

There is no doubt that traffic safety improvements are needed throughout East Portland. Having as many unsafe intersections as we do is a shame. The facts, however, speak for themselves. We don’t need Lents ranked as more dangerous than three of our adjacent neighborhoods to the West to know that we need our shared infrastructures fixed.

Jesse is the Chair of the Lents Neighborhood Association

Homepage Photo Credit: Public Domain via Wikipedia Commons  (image cropped) 

 

Related Slideshow: Portland’s 35 Most Dangerous Neighborhoods

* Rankings have been adjusted since their original posting to better reflect all neighborhood boundaries that make contact with the city's most dangerous intersections.

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#35

Buckman-East 

Calls for police: 1,714

Fire incidents: 162

City's most dangerous intersections: none

*Police stats are violent crimes only. Both police and fire stats represent totals for five years

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#34

Overlook

Calls for police: 1,792

Fire incidents:  139

City's most dangerous intersections: none

*Police stats are violent crimes only. Both police and fire stats represent totals for five years

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#33

King

Calls for police: 1,431

Fire incidents: 115 

City's most dangerous intersections:

  • Northeast Killingsworth St./ Northeast Martin Luther King Jr. Blvd. Total crashes: 57
     

*Police stats are violent crimes only. Both police and fire stats represent totals for five years 

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#32

Buckman-West 

Calls for police: 2,547

Fire incidents:  213

City's most dangerous intersections: none

*Police stats are violent crimes only. Both police and fire stats represent totals for five years

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#31

Kerns

Calls for police: 1,853

Fire incidents:  165

City's most dangerous intersections: none 

*Police stats are violent crimes only. Both police and fire stats represent totals for five years

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#30

Hosford-Abernethy

Calls for police: 2,248

Fire incidents:  126

City's most dangerous intersections: 

  • Southeast 7th Ave./ Southeast Powell Blvd. Total crashes: 114

*Police stats are violent crimes only. Both police and fire stats represent totals for five years 

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#29

Parkrose Heights 

Calls for police: 1,064

Fire incidents: 86

City's most dangerous intersections: 

  • Northeast 122nd Ave./ Northeast Halsey St. Total crashes: 99
  • Northeast 102nd Ave./ Northeast Halsey St. Total crashes: 56

*Police stats are violent crimes only. Both police and fire stats represent totals for five years 

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#28

Creston-Kenilworth

Calls for police: 1,750

Fire incidents: 133

City's most dangerous intersections: 

  • Southeast Cesar E Chavez Blvd. / Southeast Powell Blvd.Total crashes: 104
  • Southeast 50th Ave. / Southeast Foster Rd. / Southeast Powell Blvd. Total crashes:  53

*Police stats are violent crimes only. Both police and fire stats represent totals for five years

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#27

Hayden Island

Calls for police: 2,043

Fire incidents:  136

City's most dangerous intersections: none

*Police stats are violent crimes only. Both police and fire stats represent totals for five years

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#26

Wilkes

Calls for police: 1,269

Fire incidents:  102

City's most dangerous intersections: none

*Police stats are violent crimes only. Both police and fire stats represent totals for five years

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#25

Pleasant Valley

Calls for police: 1,102

Fire incidents:  89

City's most dangerous intersections: 

  • Southeast 174th Ave./ Southeast Powell Blvd. Total crashes: 111
  • Southeast 122nd Ave. / Southeast Foster Rd. Total crashes: 53
  • Southeast 148th Ave. / Southeast Stark St. Total crashes:  96

*Police stats are violent crimes only. Both police and fire stats represent totals for five years 

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#24

Lloyd 

Calls for police: 4851

Fire incidents:  187

City's most dangerous intersections: 

  • North Broadway / North Vancouver Ave. / Northeast I5 FWY-Broadway Ramp. Total crashes: 68
  • Northeast Broadway/ Northeast Grand Ave. Total crashes:  68
  • North Broadway / North Williams Ave. Total crashes: 62

*Police stats are violent crimes only. Both police and fire stats represent totals for five years

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#23

Madison South

Calls for police: 1,380

Fire incidents:  112

City's most dangerous intersections: 

  • Northeast 82nd Ave. / Northeast Sandy Blvd. Total crashes:  57

(photo courtesy of Neighborhood Notes)

*Police stats are violent crimes only. Both police and fire stats represent totals for five years

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#22

Richmond

Calls for police: 2,272

Fire incidents:  117

City's most dangerous intersections: 

  • Southeast Cesar E. Chavez Blvd./ Southeast Powell Blvd. Total crashes: 104  
  • Southeast 50th Ave./ Southeast Foster Rd./ Southeast Powell Blvd. Total crashes: 53

*Police stats are violent crimes only. Both police and fire stats represent totals for five years 

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#21

Arbor Lodge

Calls for police: 1,843

Fire incidents:  81

City's most dangerous intersections: 

  • North Interstate Ave./ North Lombard St. Total crashes: 64

*Police stats are violent crimes only. Both police and fire stats represent totals for five years

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#20

Parkrose

Calls for police: 2,590

Fire incidents: 198

City's most dangerous intersections: none

*Police stats are violent crimes only. Both police and fire stats represent totals for five years

Prev Next

#19

Northwest 

Calls for police: 4,850

Fire incidents:  288

City's most dangerous intersections: none

*Police stats are violent crimes only. Both police and fire stats represent totals for five years

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#18

Mt. Scott-Arleta

Calls for police: 1,760

Fire incidents:  98

City's most dangerous intersections: 

  • Southeast 82nd Ave. / Southeast Foster Rd. Total crashes: 78

*Police stats are violent crimes only. Both police and fire stats represent totals for five years

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#17

Brentwood-Darlington

Calls for police: 2,038

Fire incidents: 159

City's most dangerous intersections: none

*Police stats are violent crimes only. Both police and fire stats represent totals for five years

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#16

Sellwood-Moreland

Calls for police: 2,243

Fire incidents:  132

City's most dangerous intersections: 

  • Southeast 13th Ave./ Southeast Tacoma St. Total crashes: 53
  • Southeast Holgate Blvd./ Southeast McLoughlin Blvd. Total crashes: 35

*Police stats are violent crimes only. Both police and fire stats represent totals for five years 

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#15

Eliot

Calls for police: 2,106

Fire incidents:  114

City's most dangerous intersections: 

  • North Broadway/ North Vancouver Ave./ Northeast I-5 FWY. Total crashes: 68
  • Northeast Broadway/ Northeast Grand Ave. Total crashes: 68
  • North Broadway/ North Williams Ave. Total crashes: 62

*Police stats are violent crimes only. Both police and fire stats represent totals for five years 

Prev Next

#14

St. Johns

Calls for police: 3,397

Fire incidents:  228

City's most dangerous intersections: none

*Police stats are violent crimes only. Both police and fire stats represent totals for five years

Prev Next

#13

Portsmouth

Calls for police: 1,820

Fire incidents:  161

City's most dangerous intersections: none 

*Police stats are violent crimes only. Both police and fire stats represent totals for five years

Prev Next

#12

Pearl

Calls for police: 3,833

Fire incidents:  205

City's most dangerous intersections: 

  • Northwest Broadway/ Northwest Couch St. Total crashes: 82

*Police stats are violent crimes only. Both police and fire stats represent totals for five years 

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#11

Kenton

Calls for police: 1,885

Fire incidents:  251

City's most dangerous intersections:  

  • North Interstate Ave./ North Lombard St. Total crashes: 64

*Police stats are violent crimes only. Both police and fire stats represent totals for five years 

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#10

China/Old Town 

Calls for police: 3,258

Fire incidents:  60

City's most dangerous intersections: 

  • Northwest Broadway / Northwest Couch St. Total crashes: 82

*Police stats are violent crimes only. Both police and fire stats represent totals for five years

Prev Next

#9

Downtown 

Calls for police: 9,238

Fire incidents:  570

City's most dangerous intersections: none 

*Police stats are violent crimes only. Both police and fire stats represent totals for five years

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#8

Cully

Calls for police: 2,787

Fire incidents:  177

City's most dangerous intersections: 

  • Northeast 82nd Ave./ Northeast Killingsworth St. Total crashes: 49
  • Northeast Columbia Blvd. / Northeast I-205 Southbound / Columbia Blvd. Ramps. Total crashes: 84
  • Northeast 82nd Ave. / Northeast Killingsworth St.Total crashes: 49

*Police stats are violent crimes only. Both police and fire stats represent totals for five years 

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#7

Foster-Powell

Calls for police: 2,314

Fire incidents:  125

City's most dangerous intersections: 

  • Southeast 82nd Ave./ Holgate Blvd. Total crashes: 68
  • Southeast 82nd Ave. / Southeast Powell Blvd. Total crashes:  171
  • Southeast 82nd Ave. / Southeast Foster Rd. Total crashes:  78

*Police stats are violent crimes only. Both police and fire stats represent totals for five years 

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#6

Mill Park 

Calls for police: 2,108

Fire incidents:  171

City's most dangerous intersections:

  • Southeast 122nd Ave./ Southeast Stark St. Total crashes: 156 
  • Southeast 112th Ave. / Southeast Division St. Total crashes: 71
  • Southeast 122nd Ave. / Southeast Division St. Total crashes: 170

*Police stats are violent crimes only. Both police and fire stats represent totals for five years 

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#5

Montavilla

Calls for police: 3,695

Fire incidents:  229

City's most dangerous intersections: 

  • Southeast 82nd Ave./ Southeast Division St. Total crashes: 102
  • Northeast 82nd Ave./ Northeast Glisan Total crashes: 98
  • East Burnside St./ Northeast 82nd Ave./ Southeast 82nd Ave. Total crashes: 62
  • Southeast 92nd Ave./ Southeast Division St. Total crashes: 59
  • Northeast Glisan St. / Northeast Glisan St. to I-205 Southbound Ramp. Total crashes: 51
  • Southeast Division St. / Southeast Division St.-I205 FWY Ramp / Southeast I205 FW0Y. Total crashes: 55

*Police stats are violent crimes only. Both police and fire stats represent totals for five years 

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#4

Centennial 

Calls for police: 5,568

Fire incidents:  254

City's most dangerous intersections: 

  • Southeast 174th Ave./ Southeast Powell Blvd. Total crashes: 111
  • Southeast 148th Ave./ Southeast Division St. Total crashes: 69
  • Southeast 162nd Ave./ Southeast Division St. Total crashes: 92
  • Southeast 174th Ave./ Southeast Division St. Total crashes: 56
  • Southeast 162nd Ave. / Southeast Stark St. Total crashes: 55 

*Police stats are violent crimes only. Both police and fire stats represent totals for five years 

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#3

Powelhurst-Gilbert

Calls for police: 6,025

Fire incidents:  394

City's most dangerous intersections:  

  • Southeast 122nd Ave./ Southeast Division St. Total crashes: 170
  • Southeast 122nd Ave./ Southeast Powell Blvd. Total crashes: 125
  • Southeast 136 Ave./ Southeast Powell Blvd. Total crashes: 77
  • Southeast 112th Ave./ Southeast Powell Blvd. Total crashes: 56
  • Southeast 96th Dr./ Southeast Division St./ Southeast I-205 Northbound to Division. Total crashes: 79
  • Southeast 122nd Ave./ Southeast Foster Rd. Total crashes: 53
  • Southeast 82nd Ave. / Southeast Division St. Total crashes: 102
  • Southeast 92nd Ave. / Southeast Powell Blvd. Total crashes: 99
  • Southeast 92nd Ave. / Southeast Division St. Total crashes: 59
  • Southeast Division St. / Southeast Division St-I205 Fwy Ramp / Southeast I205. Total crashes: 55
  • Southeast 82nd Ave. / Southeast Powell Blvd. Total crashes: 171 
  • Southeast 112th Ave. / Southeast Division St. Total crashes: 71 

*Police stats are violent crimes only. Both police and fire stats represent totals for five years 

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#2

Lents

Calls for police: 6,973

Fire incidents:  419

City's most dangerous intersections: 

  • Southeast 92nd Ave./ Southeast Powell Blvd. Total crashes: 99
  • Southeast 92nd Ave./ Southeast Holgate Blvd. Total crashes: 67 
  • Southeast 82nd Ave./ Southeast Foster Rd. Total crashes: 78
  • Southeast 92nd Ave./ Southeast Foster Rd. Total crashes: 64
  • Southeast Foster Rd./ Southeast 96th Ave./ Southeast Foster to I-205. Total crashes: 59
  • Southeast 82nd Ave./ Southeast Flavel St. Total crashes: 49
  • Southeast Foster Rd./ Southeast 94th Ave./ I-205 FWY. Total crashes: 49
  • Southeast 82nd Ave. / Southeast Holgate Blvd. Total crashes: 68
  • Southeast 82nd Ave. / Southeast Powell Blvd. Total crashes: 171

*Police stats are violent crimes only. Both police and fire stats represent totals for five years 

**This slide previously included the intersection "Southesat Holgate Blvd./Southeast Mcloughlin Blv." which is not in the Lents neighborhood. It has since been removed**

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#1

Hazelwood

Calls for police: 10,136

Fire incidents:  483

City's most dangerous intersections:

  • Northeast 122nd Ave./ Northeast Glisan St. Total crashes: 144
  • Northeast 102nd Ave./ Northeast Glisan St. Total crashes: 110
  • Northeast Glisan St./ Northeast Glisan St. to I-205 Northbound ramp. Total crashes: 87
  • Southeast 96th Ave./ Southeast 99th Ave./ Southeast Washington St. Total crashes: 66
  • Southeast 112th Ave./ Southeast Division St. Total crashes: 71
  • Northeast Glisan St./ Northeast Glisan St. to I-205 Southbound ramp. Total crashes: 51
  • Southeast 102nd Ave./ Southeast Stark St. Total crashes: 54
  • Southeast Division St./Southeast Division St. to I-205 ramp. Total crashes: 55
  • Northeast 99th Ave./ Northeast Glisan St. Total crashes: 53
  • 122nd Ave. / Southeast Stark St. Total crashes: 156
  • Southeast 136th Ave. / Southeast Powell Blvd. Total crashes: 77
  • Southeast 148th Ave. / Southeast Stark St. Total crashes: 96
  • Southeast 96th Dr. / Southeast Division St. / Southeast I-205 Northbound ramp to Division St. ramp. Total crashes: 79
  • Northeast 102nd Ave. / Northeast Halsey St. Total crashes: 56 
  • Northeast 122nd Ave. / Northeast Halsey St. Total crashes: 99

*Police stats are violent crimes only. Both police and fire stats represent totals for five years 

 
 

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